This is about basketball.
Though you will find paralleling analogies all over the place, including
places you care more about than basketball.
To maximize your appreciation today, when I say “basketball” think,
“Wait. This applies equally to…” (INSERT
A SUBSTITUTE ARENA THAT DOES NOT BORE THE PANTS OFF YOU.) Consider it an “interactive” experience I offer a tedious example. You find a superior alternative. Isn’t that fun?
Okay, now that we’re working together on this…
Over the past few seasons, the Los Angeles Lakers have been a terrible basketball team. Last season for example, the Lakers won 17 games and lost 65. You do not need to understand basketball to
know that’s atrocious. You just need to
know how to count.
Though inordinately youthful, the 2017 Lakers are a talented assemblage.
(In a league effort to promote “parity”, the worst teams of the previous
season get to pick earlier in the pre-seasonal “draft.” As a result of this arrangement and their continued atrociousness, the Lakers have lately accumulated some of
the most promising newcomers on the horizon.)
The Lakers also
installed a new head coach, who served recently as an assistant coach for the Golden State Warriors, a team that,
while the Lakers were winning 17
games last season, amassed a league record-setting 73.
There was the genuine hope of a fresh start.
To everyone’s surprise, possibly even their own, the 2017
squad began winning. After twenty games,
the reinvigorated Lakers were a promising
10-10 (ten wins and ten losses), which was pretty impressive, considering the
season before, they had lost almost four times as many games and they’d won. (The Lakers
were so bad, even I, who have nothing to do, had stopped watching.)
After that encouraging beginning, three key Lakers players were injured. The team then lost 12 or their next thirteen
games.
Viewing this precipitous skid, the hordes of professional
prognosticators – touted sports talk show hosts, post-game analysts –
immediately swooped in. Salaried vultures,
picking at the bones, each offering their considered opinions concerning this
worrisome downturn:
The players were too inexperienced.
The head coach was too inexperienced.
The team’s preliminary success had gone to their heads.
The early-season “soft” schedule had exaggerated their
record.
The Lakers played
without sufficient “intensity and hunger.”
The team had no certifiable superstars. (That from retired certifiable superstar
Charles Barkley, whose “code-speak” suggests they need him.)
The Lakers were
incapable of holding a lead.
The Lakers were
incapable of coming from behind. (What
then? They only did well when they were
tied?)
The Lakers were
not conscientious enough in practice.
The Lakers had no
team cohesion.
When players go down, someone’s supposed to “take up the
slack”, and nobody did.
The “professional game” was currently beyond their
abilities.
There’s more, but okay.
Now. I’m not saying I am a
basketball expert. I simply stand back
and assess the situation. That’s all I
do. Ever. I look.
And I notice.
And what do I see?
I already said it.
The team was winning. Three key
players were injured. They lost eleven in
a row. Primary reason for the downturn:
Injuries.
How do I know that?
Because when the injured players came back, the Lakers – Can you believe it? –began
winning again. Most recently, three
games out of four.
There is no inscrutable mystery here. It’s the quintessential “Science Experiment.” Healthy team – wins. Injured team – loses. Team returning to full strength – wins again.
“I’d like to thank the Nobel
Prize nominating committee…”
No. It’s just
“counting on your fingers.”
So why don’t the esteemed pundits just say what is staring
them so obviously in the face? I’m sure
they do say it. But then they, incredulously. move on.
There are two problems with the correct answer. One, it’s too simple. Paid to be “knowledgeable commentators”, the
paid experts are dutifully obligated to “go deeper.” That seems ridiculous to me. Like finding precisely what you were looking
for and you continue to keep looking. (Secondary
Observation: When the Lakers resumed winning, what happened to
those “definitive explanations” for their losing. Did the Lakers
suddenly learn how to play?)
Second, and more important in a practical sense, having once
pinpointed the explanation for the team’s slump, these pundits are aware of
being forbidden to repeat the same thing
– “The Lakers are losing because of
their injuries” – any more than they can come on wearing the same sports jacket
– because if they do, the producer will begin wondering, “Didn’t he say that
already?” (or “Didn’t he wear that already?) and before they know it, the esteemed analyst
will be watching at home instead of commentating on the air and “watching at
home” doesn’t pay anything.
“How come you’re home, Daddy?”
“I said the same thing every time.”
“You needed to say more things.”
“Guess so.”
No “guess so” about it.
“Injuries” is the answer. But
it’s not insightful. It’s not
provocative. It does not adequately fill
the time. And if you’re a “broken record”
about it, you’ll be off the show, enjoying some version of the above
conversation with your bewildered offspring.
Welcome to life.
Where reality takes an inferior position…
To the show.
I know why they do it.
What I don’t understand is, are they wasting my time?
Or am I doing that myself?
(Note: Let me
know if you found a superior example.)
Leapfrogging Occam's Razor 1: Earl nailed it, too much over analyzing to fill air when the simple answer is injuries.
ReplyDeleteLeapfrogging Occam's Razor 2: Yesterday's post. Earl already solved the problem 24 hours earlier. The "antidote to apathy" experienced by Laker's fans is to sign an 8 foot tall giraffe and have Kareem teach him the skyhook and the triangle offense for a bag of carrots.
It would bring a much needed facelift to the Laker's franchise, and a better one than Billy Crystal received.