For my first
twenty-two years living in Los Angeles, I did not feel up to driving on the
freeway…
I am lunching with Ken Levine (of the popular, funny and
informative bykenlevine.com), being regaled
by his recent adventure hosting a festival of Neil Simon movies on TCM (Turner
Classic Movies.) While recounting
this enjoyable experience, the reliably upbeat Mr. Levine confesses to a
surfacing moment of apprehension.
“They invited me to do
it. There was a generous ‘clothing
allowance’, First Class tickets to Atlanta – I said ‘Great!’ But then, as they were about to start
shooting and I realized I’d be required to stand in front of millions of people
reading from a teleprompter which I had never done before, I thought, “What
have I gotten myself into!”
My immediate response to Ken’s confession was the following:
“If they had called me,
I would have immediately considered what was involved and I’d have said ‘No’ to
them over the phone.”
The lesson for me was that the difference in our responses involved,
less importantly Ken’s “Yes” versus my “No”, but when the realization of potential difficulties came to the fore, Ken’s “Red Flag” concerns arriving demonstrably too late.
Making me, in this
context,
“The Clever One.”
(Overlooking the fact that he did it and had a wonderful
experience.)
(Overlooking also
the fact that I was never asked to do it. Though if I had been, you can imagine… well,
you don’t have to imagine, my
response can be located three paragraphs to the north.
I have this gift. A
situation is proposed and, with virtually computer-like rapidity, I can evaluate
whether it is or it isn’t for me. The result of such
calculations?
Always safe.
Never sorry.
Occasionally regretful perhaps but never sorry.
I am assiduously aware of my limitations. I consider them in the face of the current
opportunity, noting the situation’s demands, evaluating my chances of
succeeding, and my determination, unlike Ken’s which arrived in my view
unproductively down the line, is instantaneous.
When you’re “The Clever One”, that, in my view, is the most
intelligent and sensible way to operate:
You assess what’s ahead and you decide whether you have any reasonable
kind of a shot.
This is the right
and proper way to handle things.
Or so I have always believed.
Recently, however, I came upon a New Yorker book review critiquing Worldly Philosopher, the biography of the late master economist Albert
O. Hirschman, authored by Jeremy Adelman.
Without venturing into elongating detail – if you are
interested, you might want to track down that review lucidly written by Deborah
Friedell on the Internet – Albert O. Hirschman believed that, in opposition to my approach, and counter-intuitively to
his role as a respected economic “planner”, attempting to pre-determine what
might happen concerning an impending undertaking is precisely the opposite of
the mature and sensible idea it appears to be.
An ultimately more productive strategy, Hirschman proposes, involves
the embracing acceptance of uncertainty.
Offering historical examples, Hirschman demonstrates that, despite
the most comprehensive planning and preparation, you can you never know what’s
ahead of you. Not only that, but backed
by enough verifiable evidence to raise it to the level of a theory, you shouldn’t know.
And here I quote (Friedell quoting Hirschman):
“While we are rather
willing and even eager and relieved to agree with a historian’s finding that we
stumbled into the more shameful events of history, such as war, we are
correspondingly unwilling to concede – in fact we find it intolerable to
imagine – that our more lofty achievements, such as economic, social and
political progress, could have come about by stumbling rather than through
careful planning… Language itself conspires towards this sort of asymmetry; we
fall into error, but do not usually speak of falling into truth.”
This way of seeing things explains a phenomenon I have
always wondered about. Why do some people,
in various lines of endeavor from writing a “spec” screenplay against incalculable
odds to going to the moon – take on what appears to be, common-sensically, “the
impossible”?
The simple answer is:
They believed it would be easier.
Then, once committed, it became impractical to turn back.
They believed it would be easier.
Then, once committed, it became impractical to turn back.
So they did it.
(Devising innovative solutions along the way.)
A mistaken evaluation and something magnificent gets
accomplished. A more accurate evaluation
and it doesn’t.
Which of these alternatives is better?
Now if you come away thinking that the message here is “Be
bold!’, then I did not communicate it correctly.
What Hirschman offers is evidence of the counter-productivity of looking
ahead. Because even though you believe
you have the information to make the appropriate decision on the matter, you
don’t.
(READ SNARKILY)… “Mr. ‘Smarty Pants’ who thinks they can see
into the future.”
I actually should have known
that.
Once, I wrote and performed a monologue for my daughter Anna’s
school fundraiser. After taking that
risk, putting my face out there in front of a theater full of people…
The next day, I started driving on the freeway.
I should probably have remembered that.
Maybe next time, I will.
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